Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.157460 0.168373 0.179768 0.192575 0.206592 0.221497 0.238580
2026-01-25 0.136213 0.151816 0.169014 0.189471 0.213264 0.240216 0.273266
2026-02-01 0.127132 0.145698 0.166929 0.193198 0.225100 0.262941 0.311754
2026-02-08 0.117591 0.137632 0.161200 0.191265 0.229040 0.275535 0.338047
2026-02-15 0.110823 0.132064 0.157649 0.191167 0.234564 0.289775 0.366866
2026-02-22 0.103560 0.125239 0.151875 0.187549 0.234920 0.296916 0.386365
2026-03-01 0.098506 0.120766 0.148627 0.186727 0.238552 0.308251 0.412093
2026-03-08 0.094808 0.117736 0.146938 0.187673 0.244383 0.322704 0.443147
2026-03-15 0.090083 0.113072 0.142783 0.184927 0.244767 0.329320 0.462986
2026-03-22 0.086353 0.109504 0.139844 0.183583 0.246891 0.338372 0.487020
2026-03-29 0.084363 0.108136 0.139756 0.186129 0.254646 0.356092 0.525972
2026-04-05 0.081242 0.105065 0.137142 0.184866 0.256615 0.365065 0.551452
2026-04-12 0.077944 0.101648 0.133938 0.182641 0.257089 0.371895 0.574280
2026-04-19 0.074637 0.098089 0.130376 0.179695 0.256266 0.376585 0.593873
2026-04-26 0.073550 0.097588 0.131125 0.183175 0.265584 0.398220 0.645324
2026-05-03 0.070978 0.094856 0.128508 0.181372 0.266335 0.405644 0.671590
2026-05-10 0.069067 0.092995 0.127071 0.181281 0.269795 0.417809 0.707857
2026-05-17 0.066371 0.089888 0.123652 0.177903 0.267599 0.419957 0.724866
2026-05-24 0.064540 0.087981 0.121947 0.177135 0.269685 0.429732 0.757903
2026-05-31 0.063247 0.086817 0.121306 0.178019 0.274589 0.444861 0.803416
2026-06-07 0.061150 0.084380 0.118625 0.175454 0.273361 0.448600 0.825366
2026-06-14 0.059489 0.082544 0.116799 0.174199 0.274332 0.456472 0.857005
2026-06-21 0.058787 0.082133 0.117162 0.176577 0.281869 0.477352 0.919847